MoneyOnComputer

[AmegaFX]

Dear Visitors, Traders and Investors!
I am an official representative of the analytics department at the Broker Company AMEGA

We provide daily analytics, predictions and reviews of the foreign exchange market to support our
existing and potential traders.

You can familiarize yourself with our full range of financial instruments and other sections of financial
analytics on our official website www.amegafx.com

Official branch

I welcome suggests from you and would be happy to answer any questions you may have.



Wishing you successful trading!
Yours Faithfully,
Forex Broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Technical analysis 21.03.18 – GOLD/USD

Today the main intrigue of the last weeks will be finally revealed: at 6 pm (UTC) FOMS will announce its decision on the main interest rate. American dollar is going to be really flexible.

The GOLD/USD has been trading in a relatively slight flat since March, 15. Such long-time currency flotation is explained by the loss of market interest to the protective assets. All of the bidders clearly want to get “fast money”. Fundamentalists expect that Fed will stick to the more aggressive approach in relation to the interest rate revision, carrying out the procedure not three, but four times a year. It is anticipated that everything that will be said at the meeting will be reflected in USD quotation and consequently in the gold quotation as well. In expert opinion, any stern action can have a positive impact on the US dollar so that precious metal prices are likely to decline.

According to the technical analysis, there is a prolonged range. Being almost flat, MACD draws weak rising summits just slightly above zero. Inspired by the idea of decline, Stochastiks has already headed the south, but in fact they were joined by the lightweight MACD, have given out the signal to sell. In such circumstances, if the fall happens, then it will be not so deep and stay within the existing band.

Trade plan for today: on the daily time frame the value is on both sides clamped by the movings 1318 (МА18) and 1304 (МА100). H1 is ready to move up to the zone 1315-1324. The buy entrance from support levels is 1312, 1310. If the market shows such heights in the prospect, it will be definitely worthwhile to sell from these levels.



Attention! The forecasts presented in the review are a private opinion of the author. Comments to them are not recommendations for trading or guidance on working in financial markets. AMEGA does not bear any responsibility for possible direct or indirect losses (or other types of loss) that may arise in the case of use of review materials. The author's punctuation, orthography and stylistics are preserved in the review.

[AmegaFX]

OIL/#CL/USD - technical analysis

On the 27th of March the Shanghai International Energy Exchange started to trade Oil for national currency. The contract signed in September with the start prize of 416 yuans per barrel was sold for 440 yuans. The price quotations for oil have reduced at the Forex market after opening of the trading session. The price per barrel has reduced from 66.55 to 65.45 US dollars.

In fact, this reduction has been a long time coming in terms of a technical analysis: MACD was bought from the 17th of November 2017 and tries to unload from time to time, but the bulls turns out to be strong enough all the time. Now everything is ready for short-term reduction in the daily time frame, it is not surprising that the Asian session has been started from the south.

Trade plan for the day: H4 sets to a decline to the support level of 62.90. Taking into account that the bulls not only manage to reach the key level of 65.00, but also to remain on this level. The traders have to keep waiting, as the right moment to start trading was missed. Alert for the 65.10. Monitor the condition of the pair coming to this level in order to open shot positions.



Attention! The forecasts presented in the review are a private opinion of the author. Comments to them are not recommendations for trading or guidance on working in financial markets. AMEGA does not bear any responsibility for possible direct or indirect losses (or other types of loss) that may arise in the case of use of review materials. The author's punctuation, orthography and stylistics are preserved in the review.

[AmegaFX]

Review NZD/USD 04.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: the current week for the New Zealand dollar is developing according to the bullish scenario. After low volatility during Bank holiday Monday and last Friday (due to Catholic Easter) price goes up powerfully, twice, updating daily highs staying until the level 0.72953. Today's news on USD -the ADP Employment Change, ADP Employment Change and FOMC Member Loretta J. Mester speech - can significantly affect the course.

Technical analysis: the short-term bullish trend, which started on March 20 from 0.71516, is still continuing. The medium - term trend is also bullish, which began on November 17, 2017, the rise from 0.67779 reliable signs of a reversal does not yet show. The coincidence of medium- and short-term trends is a good buy signal.



Trading recommendations: the long - term trend has also been bullish since 2009. Unidirectional movement of the three trends is not so often, so the priority-long positions, while continuing to move above 0.73000. On H1 the indicator "Alligator" good "opened its mouth". Cancel this scenario breakdown of the support level 0.71870.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USDCHF 05.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: short - term trend-bullish, on March 27 the Swiss franc pushed away from the "bottom" near 0.94326 and confidently goes up. If you look back a little, it is obvious that bullish dynamics has been maintained for the third consecutive month, which began with 0.91864 rise has not yet turned, which tells us about the strength of the trend. From important news for today – the Trade Balance and Initial Jobless Claims in the USA, as well as FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic speech.

Technical analysis: long-term trend-bearish since 2000, 18 years. Perhaps now we are seeing a slow reversal, since 2011 the pair is trading in a relatively narrow (for MN chart) price range from 0.70444 to 1.03458. The strong resistance level at 0.96000 is broken, and the price does not think to stop yet.



Trading recommendations: the main focus is on long positions above 0.96000. Let's pay attention to an important psychological moment – the price on the main working timeframes H1 and H4 somehow rests against the top of the screen, it seems (but is not) too high. It is comfortable to play on the rebound down – and it often turns out to be a fraud. Such a powerful price movement often speaks of its willingness to continue in this direction, rather than a rapid reversal. Cancel this scenario breakdown in reliable support at 0.94235, then go on sale.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/JPY 06.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: since mid-February, the currency pair has entered a relatively narrow price corridor of 132.000-129.000, and has not yet got out of it. For a year, from April 17, 2017, the medium – term trend is bullish. Perhaps what we are seeing now is attempts to reverse the trend. After the "peaks" on 137.503 price go down. There is no important news on the European Union and Japan today, but the BOE's Governor Mark Carney speech and Fed's Jerome H. Powell Speech - should be taken into account. We all remember last year's volatility, including EUR, on Brexit news.

Technical analysis: long-term trend since 2012 is bullish. On the H1 chart, the «Alligator» indicator has «closed its jaws», indicating a state of uncertainty. Over the past few weeks, there have been three false breakouts of the resistance level at 131.500, and now the price is again near this mark.



Trading recommendations: near the strong resistance level and the psychologically important mark 131.500, powerful price movements are likely, we will try to use this to make a profit. Long positions - with a reliable breakdown of this level. Short positions when the price rebounds and moves below 130.500.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/CAD 09.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: short-term bearish trend since mid-March - so far, the price breaks daily and weekly lows, stopping at 1.27319. The medium-term bullish trend, which began in September 2017, has not yet unfolded. Today, from the news on the Canadian dollar - a Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey.

Technical analysis: the M30 chart shows divergence, short-term bearish trend is not supported by volumes. On the same chart – the indicator "Alligator" last three days "closed jaws", in such cases advise to fix profit or wait for trend reversal. Having broken through the strong support level at 1.28150, the price went down, four days in a row updating the daily lows.



Trading recommendations: we expect the price to turn upwards. After all, the long-term trend is bullish, since 2011. A unidirectional movement of long-term, medium-term and short-term trends is a good signal, in our case, to buy. Cancel this scenario – if the authentic price break below 1.27319.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/USD 10.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: the previous week for the EURUSD was mainly bearish, but from Friday 6 April there has been a slight upward movement. For two consecutive days, the price updates daily highs, eventually stopping at the mark of 1.2312. Of the important news today - the FOMC Member Robert Kaplan Speech.

Technical analysis: long - term trend-bearish since 2008. The price rebounded from the support level around 1.22148 and goes up. Opened was "fall" indicator "Alligator" again "closed jaw", in such cases, it is recommended to fix the profit and be ready to change the trend.



Trading recommendations: on the H4 chart visible support of the bearish trend call volumes, priority sales below 1.22900. If the price is fixed above 1.24000, we consider the possibility of opening long positions.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

A comprehensive analysis of the USDCHF with 09.04.2018 for 13.04.2018

In our comprehensive weekly review we will look at the main fundamental and technical factors that will influence the USDCHF currency pair. So:
The previous week, from 2 to 6 April, was predominantly bullish:



The week was full of news events in the context of the "trade wars" between the United States and China. The dollar still looks confident, market quotes go well up, on Friday, April 6, they reached an important psychological level of 0.96500.

Technical analysis
The long-term trend in USDCHF is bearish, for 18 years, since 2000. Although there are some signs of a possible reversal, since 2011 the price slowly rises from 0.70157. Medium-term bullish trend – since February 2018, the long-term trend may be changing, turning from bearish to bullish.
Short - term (weekly) trend, as we have already noted – bullish - and therefore consider this forecast as the most likely.

Option # 1 – the continuation of the bullish trend
USDCHF pushed back from the resistance level 0.96500, before that consistently updating daily, weekly and monthly highs. This is clearly seen on the H4 chart. An important psychological point – such a long movement in the same direction often provokes traders to play on the rollback. The price seems too high, but in fact - is not. Psychologically comfortable to play on the rollback, and traders often project their desires on the real market situation-trying to see the beginning of a turn down - in each bearish candle.



Option # 2 - bearish trend
This option can be considered after a reliable breakdown of 0.95000. On the chart H1 shows the interweaving of moving averages in the area around 0.96500, and – "Alligator" begins to "shut your mouth" down.



Option # 3 – flat
The least likely option, given the recent strong volatility. However, if there are no strong trading signals for buying (selling) – we remain out of the market, waiting for the right moment.

Fundamental analysis
Significant events of the weekly economic calendar:

Tuesday 10 April
FOMC Member Robert Steven Kaplan Speech

Wednesday 11 April
• Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (USA)
• FOMC Minutes (USA)

Thursday 12 April
• FOMC Member Neel Kashkari Speech
• Initial Jobless Claims (USA)

Friday 13 April
• FOMC Member Robert Steven Kaplan Speech
• JOLTS Job Openings (USA)
• Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (USA)

Before the news – be prepared for powerful price fluctuations. Follow our daily analytical reviews.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/JPY 12.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: for the second week in a row, this currency pair is powerfully going up, regularly updating daily highs. In General, the medium – term trend has been bullish since April 17, 2017. From the important news on the European Union today - ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend since 2012. Over the past few days, there have been false breakouts of the resistance level at 132.500. Now the price is again near this mark, we are waiting for the development of the situation-whether it is another false breakout or a true reversal of the price down.



Trading recommendations: long position – when a valid breakout of the level of 132.500, short position at the breakout of the two-day low at 131.461. The price for a long time without noticeable rollbacks goes up, you need to be ready for a sharp reversal.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review NZD/USD 13.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: the current week for the New Zealand dollar was bullish, and the price continues to confidently break through the daily highs, striving for 0.74000. Today's news on USD - JOLTS Job Openings, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and FOMC Member Robert Steven Kaplan Speech - can significantly affect the course.

Technical analysis: the short-term bullish trend, which started on March 20 from 0.71516, continues. The medium - term trend is also bullish, starting in November 2017 from 0.67779-has not yet unfolded. On the H4 chart, the «Alligator» indicator that has «opened its mouth» upwards is clearly visible.



Trading recommendations: long-term trend of NZDUSD is bullish since 2009. Thus, we are dealing with a strong trading signal - unidirectional movement of three trends. Priority - long positions, if the movement continues above 0.74000. Cancel this script and switching to short positions in the breakdown of the level 0.73455.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/USD 16.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: last week, the EURUSD was traded mixed. The third day in a row does not come out of the narrow price corridor 1.23000 – 1.23500, it is not typical for this highly volatile currency pair. This happens usually in front of a powerful trend. Today is full of important news in the United States - Retail Sales ex Autos; Retail Sales control group; Retail Sales, and FOMC Member Raphael W. Bostic speech.

Technical analysis: long-term trend - bearish since 2008. The price could not break the resistance level 1.24000. The «Alligator» indicator on H1 chart «closed its jaws» is a recommendation to fix the profit and be ready to change the trend.



Trading recommendations: due to the abundance of important news – the day is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a good opportunity to earn. We consider selling below 1.23000. At the breakout of the resistance at 1.24000.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/JPY 18.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: the third week in a row, the EURJPY is up, updating the weekly and daily highs. For the whole year, from April 17, 2017, the medium – term trend is bullish. Of the important news on the European Union today - the Consumer Price Index and Consumer Price Index - Core.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend since 2012. It is not yet clear whether the resistance level at 132.500 is a true breakthrough. The H4 chart shows signs of a possible downtrend reversal: the bullish trend is no longer supported by volumes, the «Alligator» closes its mouth.



Trading recommendations: we need to let the situation prove itself. Long position – when a valid breakout of the level of 133.000, short position at the breakout of the two-day low at 132.090.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/JPY 20.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: observed short-term bullish trend since March 22, the upward movement from the "bottom" in the area 104.626. Today's news package on Japan - National Consumer Price Index -pushed market quotes up to 107.728. From the important news on the dollar today, the FOMC Member Williams speech.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend from 2012, which began at 76.073, is not unfolded. Since November 2017 yen in the medium-term bearish trend. In the H4 chart, we note that bullish trend is no longer supported by volumes.



Trading recommendations: special attention near the resistance level of 107.500 and on the news is likely to rebound after a false breakout. With a reliable movement down below 107.000 move to short positions.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/CHF 24.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: medium-term trend - for the third consecutive month bullish, from February 16, the Swiss franc pushed away from the "bottom" in the area of 0.91851 and confidently goes up. This indicates the strength of the trend. Important news today – new home sales in the United States.

Technical analysis: long-term trend-bearish since 2000, 18 years. Perhaps now we are seeing a slow reversal, since 2011 the pair is trading in a relatively narrow (for MN chart) price range from 0.70444 to 1.03458. Note also that in the H4 chart the «Аlligator» indicator confidently "opened the fall" upwards, thereby confirming the bullish trend.



Trading recommendations: we follow the medium – term bullish trend-long positions in priority, when the price moves above 0.98000. Cancel this script and switching to short positions when the authentic two-day break of at least 0.97060.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review NZD/USD 25.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: for the third week in a row for the New Zealand dollar becomes bearish, the price powerfully and practically without kickbacks goes down from the top near 0.73958. Today in New Zealand Bank holiday, in connection with the celebration of ANZAC Day (national holiday of Australia and New Zealand), because extreme volatility is not expected..

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend since 2009. The medium - term trend is also bullish, starting in November 2017 from 0.67779, it has not turned around yet. Let's pay attention to an important psychological moment, just on two charts – H4 and H1 – the price somehow rests on the bottom of the screen, it seems (but is not) too low, provoking inexperienced traders to play against the trend. In this situation, each bullish candle (on M15 or M30) can be taken for the beginning of a reversal – but we advise you not to hurry. The search for the "bottom" often ends in failure.



Trading recommendations: while the priority of short positions, follow the trend, consider the possibility of sales below 0.70000. Cancel this scenario and the transition to the long positions after the breakdown of the two-day minimum on 0.72090.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/JPY 27.04.2018

Fundamental analysis: for more than a month, since March 23, there is a short-term bullish trend, moving up from the "bottom" in the area of 104.626. Today from news on Japan – BoJ Interest Rate Decision and BoJ Press Conference. Important news for the USA: Gross Domestic Product Annualized, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend from 2012, which began at 76.073, is not unfolded. Since November 2017 yen in the medium-term bearish trend. In the H4 chart, we note that the bullish trend is supported by volumes, the «Alligator» has opened its fall upwards.



Trading recommendations: at H1 chart, «Аlligator» is the second day of the "buried past", it is a signal to lock in profits. Special attention is paid to the resistance level of 109.500 and to the news, which is abundant today. With a reliable downward movement below the two - day low of 108.814-the transition to short positions.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/CAD 1.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: the sixth day in a row USDCAD is trading in a narrow price corridor 1.28000-1.29000, so happens before powerful price movements. We do not forget about the medium-term bullish trend that began in September 2017. Today from news on the Canadian dollar – BoC Governor Poloz Speech.

Technical analysis: USDCAD has tried twice unsuccessfully to break the resistance level at 1.2900 over the past week. H4 chart shows «Аlligator» closed its mouth, besides bullish trend is no longer supported by volumes.



Trading recommendations: long – term bullish trend since 2011, and the price movement coincides with the strategic trend-the most reliable. However, there are some signs of a possible reversal of the short-term bullish trend. Long positions - above 1.29000, short positions-when breaking the two-day low at 1.28032.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

A comprehensive overview USDJPY 30.04.2018 for 04.05.2018

This comprehensive weekly review will address the main fundamental and technical factors affecting the USDJPY rate as well as trade recommendations.
The previous week, from 23 to 27 April, was bullish for the Japanese yen as a whole. Most of the time the trade was in a narrow price range from 109,000 to 109.500:



Note also that on the H1 chart the indicator "Alligator" for the third day in a row, "closed jaw", in such cases it is recommended to take profits and be ready for a trend change.

Technical analysis
Long-term trend of USDJPY is bullish in 2012. Medium-term bearish trend, the price from March 10 goes down from the top 115.517. The short-term trend, as we have already noted, is also bullish, so consider this forecast as the most likely. Coincidence of long-term and short-term trends is a good trading signal.

Option # 1 – the continuation of the bullish trend
On the H4 chart, the «Alligator» that has opened its mouth upwards is clearly visible:



We should also note the psychological moment-now many traders, after such a powerful and long price movement up, instinctively begin to look for the top in the area of the resistance level 109.500. In addition, the price seems to rest on the top edge of the screen, it seems (but is not) too high. In such a situation, you want to play down on the rollback, and it often turns out to be a trap.

Option # 2-reversal of bearish trend
Do not forget that the medium-term trend is still bearish. So, you need to be ready for a sharp change of trend. This scenario is considered when fixing the price below 108.500. The daily chart clearly shows that most recently (in March) the yen was trading around 104.595 – we will not ignore it.



Option # 3 - flat
Do not exclude this option, if confirming each other trading signals to buy (sell) will not – remain out of the market. A new fed rate will be announced during the week, as a rule, this event is accompanied by extreme volatility. Therefore, the flat is unlikely.

Fundamental analysis
Significant events of the weekly economic calendar:

Monday 30 April
• Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Price Index (USA)
Wednesday 2 May
• ADP Employment Change (USA)
• Fed's Monetary Policy Statement
• Fed Interest Rate Decision
Thursday 3 May
• Trade Balance (USA)
• Initial Jobless Claims (USA)
• ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (USA)
Friday 4 May
• Average Hourly Earnings (USA)
• Nonfarm Payrolls (USA)
• FOMC Member John C. Williams speech

Before the news – be prepared for powerful price fluctuations. Follow our daily analytical reviews.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review GBP/USD 2.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: starting from April 17 GBPUSD is in a strong bearish trend, from the level of 1.43774 the price fell down by almost 8 000 ticks (such trading opportunities happen not every month). Traders who have short positions and have been able to follow the trend - for the last two weeks have made excellent money. Our forecasts for the trend reversal were justified. From important news on the US today: the ADP Employment Change, and most importantly - the Fed Interest Rate Decision. You can confidently predict good volatility, and hence the possibility of a good profit.

Technical analysis: long – term bearish trend lasts from 2008, perhaps the closest historical minimum of 2016 – 1.13772 mark-the price passed, if it did not notice. This indicates the strength of the trend. On the H4 chart, the «Alligator» perfectly «opened the fall» downwards, and the price "rests" on the bottom of the screen. This is a vivid example of market psychology (the expression of which are the graphics) – now I want to find the "bottom" in the area of 1.36000 and play up the rollback – and it can be a trap.



Trading recommendations: follow the bearish trend. When the price moves below 1.36000-sales, above the two - day high of 1.37938-purchases. Be prepared for extreme volatility: observe risk management, protect profitable orders with stop-loss.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/CHF 3.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: medium-term trend - the third month in a row bullish, February 16 USDCHF pushed away from the" bottom " in the area of 0.91851 and confidently goes up. It speaks to the strength of the trend, now the Swiss franc on par with the us dollar (exchange rate of about 1.00000) and has reached the highs from October 2017. From important news on Switzerland today – speech of the head of the national Bank of Switzerland Jordan. In the United States - trade balance and initial claims for unemployment benefits.

Technical analysis: long-term trend-bearish since 2000, 18 years. Perhaps now we are seeing a slow reversal, since 2011 the pair is trading in a relatively narrow (for MN chart) price range from 0.70444 to 1.03458. Note also that the chart D1 indicator "Аlligator" confidently "opened the fall" up, the price rebounded from the resistance level 1.00000. In such a situation, psychologically more comfortable to play down the rollback, and it often turns out to be a trap – "top" may be false.



Trading recommendations: we follow the bullish trend-long positions in priority, when the price moves above 1.00000. Cancel this script and switching to short positions when the authentic two-day break of at least 0.98913.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review GBP/JPY 4.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: this week for GBPJPY as a whole bearish, the price has dropped and is now trading around 147.500-this is the level of March this year. From the news on the Eurozone today we will pay attention to the Markit Services PMI.

Technical analysis: the long-term bearish trend that began in the summer of 2007 has not yet unfolded. H4 chart shows a short-term bearish trend, the jaws of the "Alligator" are opened downwards. Volumes generally support the price.



Trading recommendations: follow the trend, bearish, in our case. Short positions-below 147.500 long positions-with a break of two days maximum at 150.133.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/USD 7.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: EURUSD has been in a pronounced bearish trend for the last three weeks, the price is going downwards powerfully, the price is now at the January lows. Today, important news on the US – speeches by FED officials of Bostich and Kaplan.

Technical analysis: long - term trend-bearish since 2008. The “Alligator” indicator on the H4 chart "opened its fall" downwards. Volumes support the price, which indicates the truth of the trend. "The trend will continue rather than change direction" - we count on this reasonable statement.



Trading recommendations: medium term (February 2018) the trend is reversed. In trading, often the most favorable time for active actions is the time when the price seems (but is not) too low or too high. In such situations, the majority begins to look for the "bottom" or "top" - and often are deceived in their expectations. Markets tend to go to the limit. Short positions below 1.19200, cancel this script and switching to long positions above the two day high at 1.20094.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review GBPUSD 10.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: starting from May 3, GBPUSD is trading in a narrow price range from 1.35000 to 1.36000. In General, the bearish trend (the level of 1.43774 the price has gone down by almost 8 000 ticks) is stored. Today in England, a whole package of important news: the planned volume of purchases of assets by the Bank of England, the Bank of England's decision on interest rates, the report on monetary policy and the speech of the head of the Bank of England Mark Carney.

Technical analysis: long – term bearish trend lasts from 2008, perhaps the closest historical minimum of 2016 – 1.13772 mark-the price passed, if it did not notice. This indicates the strength of the trend. However, on the H1 chart, the whole current week "Alligator" with closed jaws. This happens before the powerful price movements.



Trading recommendations: follow the bearish trend. When the price moves below the same price at 1.35000 - sale, above the two day high of 1.36080 purchase.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/JPY 11.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: on April 24, EURJPY goes down: there was a short-term trend reversal, from bullish to bearish. It should be noted that for more than a year, since April 17, 2017, the medium-term bullish trend. From important news on the European Union today - ECB President Draghi's Speech.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend since 2012. The price rebounded, almost reaching the resistance level of 129.000. On the H4 chart we see the closed fall of the "Alligator", this is a recommendation for fixing profits in anticipation of a possible trend reversal.



Trading recommendations: long positions at a reliable level breakdown 130.500, short positions – after hitting three-day low on 129.242.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review EUR/USD 14.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: the third day in a row, EURUSD breaks daily highs. Obviously, after almost a month of pronounced bearish trend, which returned prices to the level of December 2017, there was a correction. Today's FOMC Member Loretta J. Mester speech, pushed prices upwards. Then, during the day, we expect the ECB representatives, who are also able to influence the price.

Technical analysis: long - term trend-bearish since 2008. The «Alligator» indicator on H1 chart opened its fall upwards, but the volumes do not support the price – a reversal is possible.



Trading recommendations: medium term (February 2018), the bullish trend significantly reversed, it is likely that we are dealing with correction. Therefore, the priority is to continue the bearish trend. Short positions below 1.19500, cancel this script and switching to long positions above 1.20000.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review GBP/USD 15.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: starting from May 3, GBPUSD is trading in a narrow price range from 1.35000 to 1.36000, with short-term false breakouts. Bearish trend continues for the last month. Today from the important news from England: average wages excluding bonuses, average wages including bonuses. From the US – data on retail sales and the speech of the representative of the FED Williams.

Technical analysis: the long-term bearish trend has been going on since 2008. An interesting technical picture is formed on the H1 chart: for the second week "Alligator" with closed jaws. This happens before the powerful price movements.



Trading recommendations: follow bearish trend to its reliable reversal. When the price moves below 1.35000-sales, above the three - day high of 1.36182-purchase.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Comprehensive overview of AUD/USD with 14.05.2018 for 18.05.2018

This weekly review will examine the main fundamental and technical factors affecting the AUDUSD exchange rate and provide brief trade recommendations.
In the previous week, from 7 to 11 may, AUDUSD traded mixed, short-term bearish trend was replaced by bullish:



On the H1 chart, the alligator indicator closed its jaws, in such cases it is recommended to fix the profit and prepare for a trend change.

Technical analysis
Long-term trend for AUDUSD since 2011 - bearish, prices move down from the top 1.10869. Medium - term trend-bullish, since 2016 the price goes up from 0.68121. After a false breakout of the support level at 0.74500, the price goes up.

Option # 1 – the continuation of the bullish trend
Short-term bullish trend, confirmation-on the H4 chart the fall of the "Alligator" is opened up:



After a long enough strengthening of the US dollar, now there is a correction. Time will tell how long it will last.

Option # 2-bearish trend
Do not forget that for four months in a row the price updates monthly lows, stopping at 0.74084:



"The trend is likely to continue, than reverse direction," - that you should always remember watching the kickbacks.

Option # 3-flat
We do not exclude this option, if there are no trade signals confirming each other for the purchase (sale) – we will remain out of the market.

Fundamental analysis
Significant events of the weekly economic calendar:

Monday 14 May
• FOMC Member Mester speech
Tuesday 15 May
• RBA Meeting's Minutes
• FOMC Members Kaplan and Williams Speech
• Retail Sales ex Autos (USA)
• Retail Sales control group (USA)
• Retail Sales (USA)
Wednesday 16 May
• Building Permits (USA)
• Building Permits Change (USA)
• FOMC Member Bostic speech
Thursday 17 May
• Unemployment Rate s.a. (Australia)
• Employment Change s.a. (Australia)
• Initial Jobless Claims (USA)
• FOMC Members Kaplan and Kashkari Speech
Friday 18 May
• FOMC Members Mester, Kaplan, and Brainard Speech

Before the news – be prepared for powerful price fluctuations. Follow our daily analytical reviews.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review USD/JPY 16.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: this week, a powerful bullish trend USD/JPY, which started at the end of March, in General, continued to break through the daily highs. Resistance level 110.000 broken. From the news on the US today, we will pay attention to the Building Permits, Building Permits Change and FOMC Member Bostic speech.

Technical analysis: long-term bullish trend from 2012, which began at 76.073, is not unfolded. Since November 2017, the yen has been in the medium-term bearish trend, and it is not clear whether the short – term bullish trend that began on March 26 is a correction or a reversal. On two charts - H4 and D 1 - the alligator's jaws are open up, confirming the bullish trend.



Trading recommendations: long positions at a reliable level breakdown of 110.500. When moving down below the two - day low by 109.201- short positions.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

[AmegaFX]

Review AUD/USD 17.05.2018

Fundamental analysis: the Australian dollar since January this year is in a bearish trend, the price consistently updates monthly lows for the fourth month in a row. Among the important news in Australia today - the unemployment rate and employment rate$ in the United States - the initial applications for unemployment benefits and speeches of FED Kaplan and Kashkari.

Technical analysis: the long-term trend since 2011 is bearish. On the D1 chart, the «Alligator» confidently opened its fall down. However, on H1 the technical picture is somewhat different, AUDUSD is trading in a rather narrow price range from 0.74500 to 0.75500, with numerous false breakouts – near these levels require increased attention.



Trading recommendations: the priority is to continue the bearish trend, short positions are considered when the price moves below 0.74500. Cancel this scenario, move to long positions when the two-day high breaks by 0.75649.


Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA